How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is General Caballero, at 43.4%. The other outcomes represent 56.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 27.4% · Draw: 29.3% · Away win: 43.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Fernando De La Mora 1497; General Caballero 1651. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Division Intermedia · Monday, Oct 5 2026
· 22:30
Fernando De La Mora
Elo 1497
vs
General Caballero
Elo 1651
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
-154
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Fernando De La Mora1497
General Caballero1651
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Fernando De La Mora
0Draws
0General Caballero
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
43% conf.
Home
27%
Draw
29%
Away
43%
Both Teams to Score
60% conf.
Yes
60%
No
40%
Away Clean Sheet
69% conf.
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Clean Sheet
84% conf.
Yes
16%
No
84%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
76% conf.
Yes
76%
No
24%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
Home
19%
Draw
41%
Away
40%
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf.
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
71% conf.
Yes
71%
No
29%
HT Over 1.5
61% conf.
Yes
39%
No
61%
Over 1.5 Goals
78% conf.
Yes
78%
No
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
55% conf.
Yes
55%
No
45%
Over 3.5 Goals
68% conf.
Yes
32%
No
68%
Home Win to Nil
89% conf.
Yes
11%
No
89%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.