How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Barbados, at 45.4%. The other outcomes represent 54.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 35.1% · Draw: 19.5% · Away win: 45.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Bermuda 1331; Barbados 1326. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–2. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
CONCACAF Nations League · Tuesday, Oct 6 2026
· 00:00
Bermuda
Elo 1331
1
-
2
Barbados
Elo 1326
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
0W
0D
5L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
+5
H2H (4)
0H
0D
4A
Elo rating comparison
Bermuda1331
Barbados1326
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Bermuda
0Draws
4Barbados
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
45% conf.
CORRECT
Home
35%
Draw
19%
Away
45%
Both Teams to Score
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
59%
No
41%
Away Clean Sheet
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
Home Clean Sheet
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
14%
No
86%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
No
40%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
WRONG
Home
26%
Draw
33%
Away
40%
HT Both Teams Score
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
HT Over 0.5
81% conf.
WRONG
Yes
81%
No
19%
HT Over 1.5
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
63%
No
37%
Over 1.5 Goals
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
88%
No
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
76%
No
24%
Over 3.5 Goals
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
55%
No
45%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
13%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.