How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Changchun Xidu, at 43.9%. The other outcomes represent 56.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 43.9% · Draw: 24.6% · Away win: 31.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Changchun Xidu 1403; Guangzhou Dandelion 1405. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
League Two · Tuesday, Oct 6 2026
· 07:00
Changchun Xidu
Elo 1403
1
-
1
Guangzhou Dandelion
Elo 1405
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
-2
Elo rating comparison
Changchun Xidu1403
Guangzhou Dandelion1405
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Changchun Xidu
—Draws
—Guangzhou Dandelion
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
44% conf.
WRONG
Home
44%
Draw
25%
Away
31%
Both Teams to Score
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
40%
No
60%
Away Clean Sheet
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Clean Sheet
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
No
40%
Half-Time Result
46% conf.
WRONG
Home
27%
Draw
46%
Away
27%
HT Both Teams Score
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
73%
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Over 1.5 Goals
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
73%
No
27%
Over 2.5 Goals
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
48%
No
52%
Over 3.5 Goals
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.