How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Chengdu Rongcheng II, at 38.5%. The other outcomes represent 61.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 32.8% · Draw: 28.7% · Away win: 38.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: BIT 1344; Chengdu Rongcheng II 1462. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–0. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
League Two · Tuesday, Oct 6 2026
· 07:30
BIT
Elo 1344
2
-
0
Chengdu Rongcheng II
Elo 1462
FT
HT 2-0
Home Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Away Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Elo Advantage
-118
Elo rating comparison
BIT1344
Chengdu Rongcheng II1462
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—BIT
—Draws
—Chengdu Rongcheng II
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
39% conf.
WRONG
Home
33%
Draw
29%
Away
39%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
48%
No
52%
Away Clean Sheet
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Home Clean Sheet
72% conf.
WRONG
Yes
28%
No
72%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
68% conf.
WRONG
Yes
68%
No
32%
Half-Time Result
49% conf.
WRONG
Home
23%
Draw
49%
Away
28%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
71%
No
29%
HT Over 1.5
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
35%
No
65%
Over 1.5 Goals
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
69%
No
31%
Over 2.5 Goals
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
49%
No
51%
Over 3.5 Goals
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
WRONG
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.