How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Guizhou Zhucheng, at 41.5%. The other outcomes represent 58.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 41.5% · Draw: 27.3% · Away win: 31.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Guizhou Zhucheng 1528; Shanghai Port II 1541. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
League Two · Tuesday, Oct 6 2026
· 11:30
Guizhou Zhucheng
Elo 1528
2
-
1
Shanghai Port II
Elo 1541
FT
HT 1-1
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
-13
Elo rating comparison
Guizhou Zhucheng1528
Shanghai Port II1541
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Guizhou Zhucheng
—Draws
—Shanghai Port II
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
41% conf.
CORRECT
Home
41%
Draw
27%
Away
31%
Both Teams to Score
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
44%
No
56%
Away Clean Sheet
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
36%
No
64%
Home Clean Sheet
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
36%
No
64%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
61%
No
39%
Half-Time Result
47% conf.
CORRECT
Home
30%
Draw
47%
Away
22%
HT Both Teams Score
88% conf.
WRONG
Yes
12%
No
88%
HT Over 0.5
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
61%
No
39%
HT Over 1.5
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
25%
No
75%
Over 1.5 Goals
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
55%
No
45%
Over 2.5 Goals
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
39%
No
61%
Over 3.5 Goals
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.