How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Hull City U21, at 53.1%. The other outcomes represent 46.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 53.1% · Draw: 16.8% · Away win: 30.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Hull City U21 1414; Wigan Athletic U21 1438. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–2. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Professional Development League · Tuesday, Oct 6 2026
· 12:00
Hull City U21
Elo 1414
2
-
2
Wigan Athletic U21
Elo 1438
FT
HT 0-2
Home Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
-24
H2H (5)
2H
0D
3A
Elo rating comparison
Hull City U211414
Wigan Athletic U211438
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Hull City U21
0Draws
3Wigan Athletic U21
5 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
53% conf.
WRONG
Home
53%
Draw
17%
Away
30%
Both Teams to Score
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
62%
No
38%
Away Clean Sheet
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Home Clean Sheet
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
52%
No
48%
Half-Time Result
37% conf.
WRONG
Home
37%
Draw
36%
Away
27%
HT Both Teams Score
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
29%
No
71%
HT Over 0.5
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
82%
No
18%
HT Over 1.5
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
48%
No
52%
Over 1.5 Goals
87% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
87%
No
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
72%
No
28%
Over 3.5 Goals
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
47%
No
53%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.