How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Uruguay, at 58.8%. The other outcomes represent 41.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 20.3% · Draw: 20.9% · Away win: 58.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: India 1438; Uruguay 1794. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–6. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Friendlies · Tuesday, Oct 6 2026
· 14:00
India
Elo 1438
1
-
6
Uruguay
Elo 1794
FT
HT 1-2
Home Form (5)
0W
2D
3L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
-356
Elo rating comparison
India1438
Uruguay1794
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—India
—Draws
—Uruguay
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
59% conf.
CORRECT
Home
20%
Draw
21%
Away
59%
Both Teams to Score
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
58%
No
42%
Away Clean Sheet
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Home Clean Sheet
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
14%
No
86%
Double Chance 1X
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Double Chance X2
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
82%
No
18%
Half-Time Result
52% conf.
CORRECT
Home
17%
Draw
31%
Away
52%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
WRONG
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
No
22%
HT Over 1.5
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
47%
No
53%
Over 1.5 Goals
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
No
16%
Over 2.5 Goals
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
66%
No
34%
Over 3.5 Goals
70% conf.
WRONG
Yes
30%
No
70%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.