How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Kazakhstan, at 50.0%. The other outcomes represent 50.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 50% · Draw: 26.8% · Away win: 23.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Kazakhstan 1354; Faroe Islands 1349. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–2. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
UEFA Nations League · Tuesday, Oct 6 2026
· 14:00
Kazakhstan
Elo 1354
2
-
2
Faroe Islands
Elo 1349
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
0W
2D
3L
Away Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Elo Advantage
+5
H2H (6)
0H
4D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Kazakhstan1354
Faroe Islands1349
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Kazakhstan
4Draws
2Faroe Islands
6 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
50% conf.
WRONG
Home
50%
Draw
27%
Away
23%
Both Teams to Score
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
42%
No
58%
Away Clean Sheet
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Home Clean Sheet
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
32%
No
68%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
No
47%
Half-Time Result
47% conf.
WRONG
Home
33%
Draw
47%
Away
20%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
69%
No
31%
HT Over 1.5
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Over 1.5 Goals
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
No
23%
Over 2.5 Goals
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
46%
No
54%
Over 3.5 Goals
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
25%
No
75%
Home Win to Nil
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
36%
No
64%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.