How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Skjetten, at 58.3%. The other outcomes represent 41.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 58.3% · Draw: 17.6% · Away win: 24%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Skjetten 1513; Kongsvinger II 1381. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–4. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
3. Division - Girone 5 · Tuesday, Oct 6 2026
· 16:00
Skjetten
Elo 1513
3
-
4
Kongsvinger II
Elo 1381
FT
HT 1-4
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Elo Advantage
+132
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Skjetten1513
Kongsvinger II1381
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Skjetten
0Draws
0Kongsvinger II
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
58% conf.
WRONG
Home
58%
Draw
18%
Away
24%
Both Teams to Score
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
63%
No
37%
Away Clean Sheet
90% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
10%
No
90%
Home Clean Sheet
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
33%
No
67%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Half-Time Result
47% conf.
WRONG
Home
47%
Draw
34%
Away
18%
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf.
WRONG
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
82%
No
18%
HT Over 1.5
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
48%
No
52%
Over 1.5 Goals
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
89%
No
11%
Over 2.5 Goals
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
67%
No
33%
Over 3.5 Goals
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
57%
No
43%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.