How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Guiseley AFC, at 47.4%. The other outcomes represent 52.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 28.2% · Draw: 24.5% · Away win: 47.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Ilkeston Town 1468; Guiseley AFC 1676. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–2. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Non League Premier - Northern · Tuesday, Oct 6 2026
· 18:45
Ilkeston Town
Elo 1468
0
-
2
Guiseley AFC
Elo 1676
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
0W
0D
5L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
-208
Elo rating comparison
Ilkeston Town1468
Guiseley AFC1676
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Ilkeston Town
—Draws
—Guiseley AFC
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
47% conf.
CORRECT
Home
28%
Draw
24%
Away
47%
Both Teams to Score
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
62%
No
38%
Away Clean Sheet
69% conf.
WRONG
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Clean Sheet
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
14%
No
86%
Double Chance 1X
50% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
50%
No
50%
Double Chance X2
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
76%
No
24%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
CORRECT
Home
22%
Draw
38%
Away
40%
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
42%
No
58%
Over 1.5 Goals
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
No
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
62%
No
38%
Over 3.5 Goals
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
43%
No
57%
Home Win to Nil
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
11%
No
89%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.