How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Colombia, at 65.8%. The other outcomes represent 34.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 65.8% · Draw: 24% · Away win: 10.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Colombia 1870; Peru 1598. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Friendlies · Tuesday, Oct 6 2026
· 23:45
Colombia
Elo 1870
2
-
0
Peru
Elo 1598
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Elo Advantage
+272
Elo rating comparison
Colombia1870
Peru1598
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Colombia
—Draws
—Peru
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
66% conf.
CORRECT
Home
66%
Draw
24%
Away
10%
Both Teams to Score
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
58%
No
42%
Away Clean Sheet
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
11%
No
89%
Home Clean Sheet
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
40%
No
60%
Double Chance 1X
93% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
93%
No
7%
Double Chance X2
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Half-Time Result
50% conf.
WRONG
Home
50%
Draw
38%
Away
13%
HT Both Teams Score
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
14%
No
86%
HT Over 0.5
69% conf.
WRONG
Yes
69%
No
31%
HT Over 1.5
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
34%
No
66%
Over 1.5 Goals
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
81%
No
19%
Over 2.5 Goals
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
57%
No
43%
Over 3.5 Goals
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.