How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Suwon FMC W, at 64.3%. The other outcomes represent 35.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 20.3% · Draw: 15.4% · Away win: 64.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Changnyeong W 1236; Suwon FMC W 1690. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–0. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
WK-League · Wednesday, Oct 7 2026
· 10:00
Changnyeong W
Elo 1236
2
-
0
Suwon FMC W
Elo 1690
FT
HT 2-0
Home Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
-453
H2H (6)
0H
4D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Changnyeong W1236
Suwon FMC W1690
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Changnyeong W
4Draws
2Suwon FMC W
6 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
64% conf.
WRONG
Home
20%
Draw
15%
Away
64%
Both Teams to Score
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
36%
No
64%
Away Clean Sheet
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
55%
No
45%
Home Clean Sheet
88% conf.
WRONG
Yes
12%
No
88%
Double Chance 1X
81% conf.
WRONG
Yes
19%
No
81%
Double Chance X2
79% conf.
WRONG
Yes
79%
No
21%
Half-Time Result
52% conf.
WRONG
Home
18%
Draw
30%
Away
52%
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
81%
No
19%
HT Over 1.5
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
47%
No
53%
Over 1.5 Goals
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
No
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
60%
No
40%
Over 3.5 Goals
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Home Win to Nil
92% conf.
WRONG
Yes
8%
No
92%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.