How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is FC Tokyo, at 57.0%. The other outcomes represent 43.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 57% · Draw: 20.1% · Away win: 22.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: FC Tokyo 1870; Shonan Bellmare 1661. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 4–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Emperor Cup · Wednesday, Oct 7 2026
· 10:00
FC Tokyo
Elo 1870
4
-
0
Shonan Bellmare
Elo 1661
FT
HT 2-0
Home Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
+209
Elo rating comparison
FC Tokyo1870
Shonan Bellmare1661
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—FC Tokyo
—Draws
—Shonan Bellmare
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
57% conf.
CORRECT
Home
57%
Draw
20%
Away
23%
Both Teams to Score
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
61%
No
39%
Away Clean Sheet
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
Home Clean Sheet
67% conf.
WRONG
Yes
33%
No
67%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
44%
No
56%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
CORRECT
Home
40%
Draw
36%
Away
23%
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
No
30%
HT Over 1.5
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
41%
No
59%
Over 1.5 Goals
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
82%
No
18%
Over 2.5 Goals
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Over 3.5 Goals
66% conf.
WRONG
Yes
34%
No
66%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.