How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Shaanxi Union, at 49.9%. The other outcomes represent 50.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 23.3% · Draw: 26.7% · Away win: 49.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Nanjing City 1418; Shaanxi Union 1596. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–4. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
League One · Wednesday, Oct 7 2026
· 11:30
Nanjing City
Elo 1418
1
-
4
Shaanxi Union
Elo 1596
FT
HT 1-1
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
-178
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Nanjing City1418
Shaanxi Union1596
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Nanjing City
0Draws
0Shaanxi Union
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
50% conf.
CORRECT
Home
23%
Draw
27%
Away
50%
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
51%
No
49%
Away Clean Sheet
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
34%
No
66%
Home Clean Sheet
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
Double Chance 1X
50% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
50%
No
50%
Double Chance X2
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
74%
No
26%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
CORRECT
Home
22%
Draw
42%
Away
36%
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
WRONG
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
HT Over 1.5
66% conf.
WRONG
Yes
34%
No
66%
Over 1.5 Goals
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
74%
No
26%
Over 2.5 Goals
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
54%
No
46%
Over 3.5 Goals
72% conf.
WRONG
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.