How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Jiangxi Liansheng, at 40.1%. The other outcomes represent 59.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 40.1% · Draw: 28.4% · Away win: 31.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Jiangxi Liansheng 1506; Dalian Kewei 1553. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
League Two · Wednesday, Oct 7 2026
· 11:30
Jiangxi Liansheng
Elo 1506
0
-
1
Dalian Kewei
Elo 1553
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
-46
Elo rating comparison
Jiangxi Liansheng1506
Dalian Kewei1553
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Jiangxi Liansheng
—Draws
—Dalian Kewei
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
40% conf.
WRONG
Home
40%
Draw
28%
Away
32%
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
51%
No
49%
Away Clean Sheet
72% conf.
WRONG
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Clean Sheet
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
33%
No
67%
Double Chance 1X
70% conf.
WRONG
Yes
70%
No
30%
Double Chance X2
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
63%
No
37%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
CORRECT
Home
29%
Draw
44%
Away
28%
HT Both Teams Score
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
14%
No
86%
HT Over 0.5
69% conf.
WRONG
Yes
69%
No
31%
HT Over 1.5
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
29%
No
71%
Over 1.5 Goals
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
64%
No
36%
Over 2.5 Goals
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Over 3.5 Goals
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.