How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Gazalkent, at 72.7%. The other outcomes represent 27.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 72.7% · Draw: 17.8% · Away win: 9.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Gazalkent 1565; Pakhtakor II 1334. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–2. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Pro League A · Thursday, Oct 8 2026
· 13:00
Gazalkent
Elo 1565
3
-
2
Pakhtakor II
Elo 1334
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Elo Advantage
+230
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Gazalkent1565
Pakhtakor II1334
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Gazalkent
0Draws
0Pakhtakor II
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
73% conf.
CORRECT
Home
73%
Draw
18%
Away
10%
Both Teams to Score
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
42%
No
58%
Away Clean Sheet
92% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
8%
No
92%
Home Clean Sheet
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
59%
No
41%
Double Chance 1X
97% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
97%
No
3%
Double Chance X2
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Half-Time Result
58% conf.
WRONG
Home
58%
Draw
32%
Away
10%
HT Both Teams Score
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
HT Over 0.5
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
72%
No
28%
HT Over 1.5
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Over 1.5 Goals
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
83%
No
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
57%
No
43%
Over 3.5 Goals
73% conf.
WRONG
Yes
27%
No
73%
Home Win to Nil
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
47%
No
53%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.