How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Kahta 02 Spor, at 38.6%. The other outcomes represent 61.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 38.1% · Draw: 23.3% · Away win: 38.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Talasgücü Belediyespor 1566; Kahta 02 Spor 1536. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–0. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Türkiye Kupası · Thursday, Oct 8 2026
· 11:00
Talasgücü Belediyespor
Elo 1566
2
-
0
Kahta 02 Spor
Elo 1536
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
4W
1D
0L
Away Form (5)
2W
0D
1L
Elo Advantage
+30
Elo rating comparison
Talasgücü Belediyespor1566
Kahta 02 Spor1536
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Talasgücü Belediyespor
—Draws
—Kahta 02 Spor
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
39% conf.
WRONG
Home
38%
Draw
23%
Away
39%
Both Teams to Score
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
55%
No
45%
Away Clean Sheet
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
Home Clean Sheet
78% conf.
WRONG
Yes
22%
No
78%
Double Chance 1X
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
59%
No
41%
Double Chance X2
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
61%
No
39%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
WRONG
Home
29%
Draw
29%
Away
41%
HT Both Teams Score
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
50% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
50%
No
50%
Over 1.5 Goals
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
74%
No
26%
Over 2.5 Goals
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
56%
No
44%
Over 3.5 Goals
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
32%
No
68%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
WRONG
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.