How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Tokat Bld Plevnespor, at 37.7%. The other outcomes represent 62.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 37.7% · Draw: 27.4% · Away win: 34.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Tokat Bld Plevnespor 1513; Etimesgut SK 1573. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–5. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Türkiye Kupası · Wednesday, Oct 7 2026
· 11:00
Tokat Bld Plevnespor
Elo 1513
1
-
5
Etimesgut SK
Elo 1573
FT
HT 1-2
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
4W
1D
0L
Elo Advantage
-60
Elo rating comparison
Tokat Bld Plevnespor1513
Etimesgut SK1573
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Tokat Bld Plevnespor
—Draws
—Etimesgut SK
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
38% conf.
WRONG
Home
38%
Draw
27%
Away
35%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
48%
No
52%
Away Clean Sheet
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Home Clean Sheet
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
Double Chance 1X
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
60%
No
40%
Double Chance X2
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
58%
No
42%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
WRONG
Home
31%
Draw
42%
Away
27%
HT Both Teams Score
84% conf.
WRONG
Yes
16%
No
84%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
73%
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
36%
No
64%
Over 1.5 Goals
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
No
23%
Over 2.5 Goals
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
51%
No
49%
Over 3.5 Goals
72% conf.
WRONG
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.