How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Santa Rita, at 59.6%. The other outcomes represent 40.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 22.2% · Draw: 18.2% · Away win: 59.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Femar 1391; Santa Rita 1498. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–3. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Paraibano 2 · Wednesday, Oct 7 2026
· 18:00
Femar
Elo 1391
0
-
3
Santa Rita
Elo 1498
FT
Home Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Away Form (5)
5W
0D
0L
Elo Advantage
-107
Elo rating comparison
Femar1391
Santa Rita1498
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Femar
—Draws
—Santa Rita
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
60% conf.
CORRECT
Home
22%
Draw
18%
Away
60%
Both Teams to Score
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
56%
No
44%
Away Clean Sheet
72% conf.
WRONG
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Clean Sheet
90% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
10%
No
90%
Double Chance 1X
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance X2
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Half-Time Result
53% conf.
Home
21%
Draw
26%
Away
53%
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
82% conf.
Yes
82%
No
18%
HT Over 1.5
59% conf.
Yes
59%
No
41%
Over 1.5 Goals
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
89%
No
11%
Over 2.5 Goals
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
69%
No
31%
Over 3.5 Goals
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
54%
No
46%
Home Win to Nil
100% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
0%
No
100%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.