How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Buckie Thistle, at 70.2%. The other outcomes represent 29.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 70.2% · Draw: 18.5% · Away win: 11.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Buckie Thistle 1463; Lossiemouth 1080. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–4. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Football League - Highland League · Wednesday, Oct 7 2026
· 19:00
Buckie Thistle
Elo 1463
2
-
4
Lossiemouth
Elo 1080
FT
HT 0-3
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Elo Advantage
+383
Elo rating comparison
Buckie Thistle1463
Lossiemouth1080
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Buckie Thistle
—Draws
—Lossiemouth
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
70% conf.
WRONG
Home
70%
Draw
18%
Away
11%
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
54%
No
46%
Away Clean Sheet
90% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
10%
No
90%
Home Clean Sheet
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Double Chance 1X
87% conf.
WRONG
Yes
87%
No
13%
Double Chance X2
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
35%
No
65%
Half-Time Result
61% conf.
WRONG
Home
61%
Draw
28%
Away
11%
HT Both Teams Score
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
29%
No
71%
HT Over 0.5
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
81%
No
19%
HT Over 1.5
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
61%
No
39%
Over 1.5 Goals
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
89%
No
11%
Over 2.5 Goals
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
71%
No
29%
Over 3.5 Goals
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
No
47%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.