Inverurie Loco Works vs Invergordon

Football League - Highland League · Wednesday, 07 Oct 2026 · 19:00

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Statistical match analysis

In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Inverurie Loco Works, at 64.0%. The other outcomes represent 36.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.

Home win: 64% · Draw: 21.7% · Away win: 14.3%.

Elo strength available for this analysis: Inverurie Loco Works 1448; Invergordon 1312. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.

90-minute result: 1–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.

Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.

Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.

Football League - Highland League · Wednesday, Oct 7 2026 · 19:00
Inverurie Loco Works
Elo 1448
1 - 0
Invergordon
Elo 1312
FT HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
2W 1D 2L
Away Form (5)
1W 0D 4L
Elo Advantage
+136

Elo rating comparison

Inverurie Loco Works1448
Invergordon1312

A measure of relative team strength before the match.

Head-to-head history

—Inverurie Loco Works
—Draws
—Invergordon

0 historical meetings in the model

Predictions

14 markets
Match Result
64% conf. CORRECT
Home
64%
Draw
22%
Away
14%
Both Teams to Score
64% conf. WRONG
Yes
64%
No
36%
Away Clean Sheet
86% conf. CORRECT
Yes
14%
No
86%
Home Clean Sheet
71% conf. WRONG
Yes
29%
No
71%
Double Chance 1X
84% conf. CORRECT
Yes
84%
No
16%
Double Chance X2
62% conf. CORRECT
Yes
38%
No
62%
Half-Time Result
54% conf. CORRECT
Home
54%
Draw
32%
Away
14%
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf. CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
80% conf. CORRECT
Yes
80%
No
20%
HT Over 1.5
54% conf. WRONG
Yes
54%
No
46%
Over 1.5 Goals
86% conf. WRONG
Yes
86%
No
14%
Over 2.5 Goals
67% conf. WRONG
Yes
67%
No
33%
Over 3.5 Goals
59% conf. CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf. WRONG
Yes
26%
No
74%

How to read these predictions

Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.

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Recent results

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Verified performance

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Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?

Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.

Are predictions guaranteed?

No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.

Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?

No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.