How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Argentinos Juniors Res., at 43.3%. The other outcomes represent 56.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 43.3% · Draw: 28% · Away win: 28.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Argentinos Juniors Res. 1533; San Lorenzo Res. 1524. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–1. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Reserve League · Thursday, Oct 8 2026
· 18:00
Argentinos Juniors Res.
Elo 1533
0
-
1
San Lorenzo Res.
Elo 1524
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
2W
3D
0L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
+9
H2H (2)
0H
2D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Argentinos Juniors Res.1533
San Lorenzo Res.1524
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Argentinos Juniors Res.
2Draws
0San Lorenzo Res.
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
43% conf.
WRONG
Home
43%
Draw
28%
Away
29%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
48%
No
52%
Away Clean Sheet
77% conf.
WRONG
Yes
23%
No
77%
Home Clean Sheet
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
58%
No
42%
Half-Time Result
48% conf.
CORRECT
Home
30%
Draw
48%
Away
22%
HT Both Teams Score
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
HT Over 0.5
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
63%
No
37%
HT Over 1.5
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
32%
No
68%
Over 1.5 Goals
66% conf.
WRONG
Yes
66%
No
34%
Over 2.5 Goals
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
42%
No
58%
Over 3.5 Goals
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.