How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Belgrano Córdoba Res., at 69.1%. The other outcomes represent 30.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 69.1% · Draw: 20.5% · Away win: 10.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Belgrano Córdoba Res. 1579; San Martín San Juan Res. 1342. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–2. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Reserve League · Thursday, Oct 8 2026
· 18:00
Belgrano Córdoba Res.
Elo 1579
3
-
2
San Martín San Juan Res.
Elo 1342
FT
HT 2-2
Home Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Away Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Elo Advantage
+237
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Belgrano Córdoba Res.1579
San Martín San Juan Res.1342
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Belgrano Córdoba Res.
0Draws
0San Martín San Juan Res.
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
69% conf.
CORRECT
Home
69%
Draw
20%
Away
10%
Both Teams to Score
50% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
50%
No
50%
Away Clean Sheet
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Home Clean Sheet
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Double Chance 1X
93% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
93%
No
7%
Double Chance X2
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Half-Time Result
49% conf.
WRONG
Home
49%
Draw
39%
Away
12%
HT Both Teams Score
83% conf.
WRONG
Yes
17%
No
83%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
73%
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
44%
No
56%
Over 1.5 Goals
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
82%
No
18%
Over 2.5 Goals
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
63%
No
37%
Over 3.5 Goals
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
38%
No
62%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.