How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Lanús Res., at 55.3%. The other outcomes represent 44.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 55.3% · Draw: 29.9% · Away win: 14.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Lanús Res. 1582; Central Córdoba SdE Res. 1373. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–0. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Reserve League · Thursday, Oct 8 2026
· 18:00
Lanús Res.
Elo 1582
3
-
0
Central Córdoba SdE Res.
Elo 1373
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
+209
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Lanús Res.1582
Central Córdoba SdE Res.1373
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Lanús Res.
0Draws
0Central Córdoba SdE Res.
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
55% conf.
CORRECT
Home
55%
Draw
30%
Away
15%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
52%
No
48%
Away Clean Sheet
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
14%
No
86%
Home Clean Sheet
66% conf.
WRONG
Yes
34%
No
66%
Double Chance 1X
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
89%
No
11%
Double Chance X2
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
40%
No
60%
Half-Time Result
45% conf.
WRONG
Home
41%
Draw
45%
Away
14%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
HT Over 1.5
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
40%
No
60%
Over 1.5 Goals
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
No
23%
Over 2.5 Goals
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
52%
No
48%
Over 3.5 Goals
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
32%
No
68%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
WRONG
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.