How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is River Plate Res., at 36.6%. The other outcomes represent 63.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 30.8% · Draw: 32.7% · Away win: 36.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Racing Club Res. 1549; River Plate Res. 1682. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–2. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Reserve League · Tuesday, Oct 6 2026
· 18:00
Racing Club Res.
Elo 1549
2
-
2
River Plate Res.
Elo 1682
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
2W
3D
0L
Away Form (5)
2W
3D
0L
Elo Advantage
-134
H2H (4)
2H
2D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Racing Club Res.1549
River Plate Res.1682
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Racing Club Res.
2Draws
0River Plate Res.
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
37% conf.
WRONG
Home
31%
Draw
33%
Away
37%
Both Teams to Score
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
No
40%
Away Clean Sheet
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Home Clean Sheet
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
76%
No
24%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
WRONG
Home
21%
Draw
44%
Away
36%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
71%
No
29%
HT Over 1.5
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
38%
No
62%
Over 1.5 Goals
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
73%
No
27%
Over 2.5 Goals
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
43%
No
57%
Over 3.5 Goals
79% conf.
WRONG
Yes
21%
No
79%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.