How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Sportivo Ameliano, at 52.1%. The other outcomes represent 47.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 52.1% · Draw: 24.1% · Away win: 23.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Sportivo Ameliano 1722; Rubio NU 1609. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–2. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Division Profesional - Clausura · Tuesday, Oct 6 2026
· 20:00
Sportivo Ameliano
Elo 1722
1
-
2
Rubio NU
Elo 1609
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
0W
4D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
+113
H2H (3)
1H
2D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Sportivo Ameliano1722
Rubio NU1609
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
1Sportivo Ameliano
2Draws
0Rubio NU
3 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
52% conf.
WRONG
Home
52%
Draw
24%
Away
24%
Both Teams to Score
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
58%
No
42%
Away Clean Sheet
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
Home Clean Sheet
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
42%
No
58%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
WRONG
Home
42%
Draw
41%
Away
17%
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
69%
No
31%
HT Over 1.5
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Over 1.5 Goals
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
No
30%
Over 2.5 Goals
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
48%
No
52%
Over 3.5 Goals
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.