How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Cerro Porteno, at 61.9%. The other outcomes represent 38.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 61.9% · Draw: 19.6% · Away win: 18.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Cerro Porteno 1850; 2 de Mayo 1677. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–2. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Division Profesional - Clausura · Monday, Oct 5 2026
· 22:15
Cerro Porteno
Elo 1850
0
-
2
2 de Mayo
Elo 1677
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
0W
5D
0L
Elo Advantage
+173
H2H (4)
2H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Cerro Porteno1850
2 de Mayo1677
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Cerro Porteno
0Draws
22 de Mayo
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
62% conf.
WRONG
Home
62%
Draw
20%
Away
18%
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
No
47%
Away Clean Sheet
88% conf.
WRONG
Yes
12%
No
88%
Home Clean Sheet
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
WRONG
Home
44%
Draw
38%
Away
18%
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
73%
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
44%
No
56%
Over 1.5 Goals
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
No
16%
Over 2.5 Goals
66% conf.
WRONG
Yes
66%
No
34%
Over 3.5 Goals
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
38%
No
62%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.