How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Barranquilla, at 41.2%. The other outcomes represent 58.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 36% · Draw: 22.8% · Away win: 41.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Leones FC 1245; Barranquilla 1328. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Primera B · Wednesday, Oct 7 2026
· 21:00
Leones FC
Elo 1245
1
-
1
Barranquilla
Elo 1328
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
-82
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Leones FC1245
Barranquilla1328
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Leones FC
0Draws
2Barranquilla
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
41% conf.
WRONG
Home
36%
Draw
23%
Away
41%
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
47%
No
53%
Away Clean Sheet
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
Home Clean Sheet
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Double Chance 1X
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
58%
No
42%
Double Chance X2
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
66%
No
34%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
WRONG
Home
28%
Draw
41%
Away
31%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
No
30%
HT Over 1.5
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
34%
No
66%
Over 1.5 Goals
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
76%
No
24%
Over 2.5 Goals
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
52%
No
48%
Over 3.5 Goals
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.