How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Independiente Petrolero, at 57.5%. The other outcomes represent 42.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 57.5% · Draw: 19.6% · Away win: 22.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Independiente Petrolero 1549; Gualberto Villarroel SJ 1469. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Copa de la División Profesional · Wednesday, Oct 7 2026
· 21:30
Independiente Petrolero
Elo 1549
1
-
0
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Elo 1469
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Away Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Elo Advantage
+80
H2H (6)
6H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Independiente Petrolero1549
Gualberto Villarroel SJ1469
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
6Independiente Petrolero
0Draws
0Gualberto Villarroel SJ
6 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
57% conf.
CORRECT
Home
57%
Draw
20%
Away
23%
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
51%
No
49%
Away Clean Sheet
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
11%
No
89%
Home Clean Sheet
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
35%
No
65%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
44%
No
56%
Half-Time Result
46% conf.
CORRECT
Home
46%
Draw
33%
Away
21%
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
HT Over 1.5
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
42%
No
58%
Over 1.5 Goals
82% conf.
WRONG
Yes
82%
No
18%
Over 2.5 Goals
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
63%
No
37%
Over 3.5 Goals
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
34%
No
66%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.