Coquimbo Unido vs Cobreloa

Copa Chile · Wednesday, 07 Oct 2026 · 22:00

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Statistical match analysis

In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Coquimbo Unido, at 62.2%. The other outcomes represent 37.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.

Home win: 62.2% · Draw: 21.2% · Away win: 16.6%.

Elo strength available for this analysis: Coquimbo Unido 1731; Cobreloa 1603. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.

90-minute result: 2–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.

Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.

Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.

Copa Chile · Wednesday, Oct 7 2026 · 22:00
Coquimbo Unido
Elo 1731
2 - 1
Cobreloa
Elo 1603
FT HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
2W 1D 2L
Away Form (5)
3W 0D 2L
Elo Advantage
+128
H2H (4)
4H 0D 0A

Elo rating comparison

Coquimbo Unido1731
Cobreloa1603

A measure of relative team strength before the match.

Head-to-head history

4Coquimbo Unido
0Draws
0Cobreloa

4 historical meetings in the model

Predictions

14 markets
Match Result
62% conf. CORRECT
Home
62%
@ 1.69
Draw
21%
@ 3.85
Away
17%
@ 4.34
Both Teams to Score
54% conf. CORRECT
Yes
54%
@ 1.69
No
46%
Away Clean Sheet
85% conf. CORRECT
Yes
15%
No
85%
Home Clean Sheet
56% conf. CORRECT
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance 1X
85% conf. CORRECT
Yes
85%
@ 1.18
No
15%
Double Chance X2
62% conf. CORRECT
Yes
38%
No
62%
Half-Time Result
43% conf. WRONG
Home
43%
@ 2.25
Draw
41%
@ 2.31
Away
16%
@ 4.69
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf. CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf. CORRECT
Yes
74%
@ 1.32
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
72% conf. CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Over 1.5 Goals
78% conf. CORRECT
Yes
78%
@ 1.22
No
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
53% conf. CORRECT
Yes
53%
@ 1.73
No
47%
Over 3.5 Goals
69% conf. CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf. CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%

How to read these predictions

Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.

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Recent results

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Verified performance

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Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?

Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.

Are predictions guaranteed?

No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.

Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?

No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.