How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Oriente Petrolero, at 54.5%. The other outcomes represent 45.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 54.5% · Draw: 18.9% · Away win: 26.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Oriente Petrolero 1586; Universitario de Vinto 1490. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Copa de la División Profesional · Thursday, Oct 8 2026
· 00:30
Oriente Petrolero
Elo 1586
2
-
0
Universitario de Vinto
Elo 1490
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Elo Advantage
+96
H2H (6)
2H
0D
4A
Elo rating comparison
Oriente Petrolero1586
Universitario de Vinto1490
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Oriente Petrolero
0Draws
4Universitario de Vinto
6 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
55% conf.
CORRECT
Home
55%
Draw
19%
Away
27%
Both Teams to Score
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
61%
No
39%
Away Clean Sheet
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Home Clean Sheet
69% conf.
WRONG
Yes
31%
No
69%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
42%
No
58%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
CORRECT
Home
44%
Draw
35%
Away
21%
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
HT Over 1.5
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
45%
No
55%
Over 1.5 Goals
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
88%
No
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
65%
No
35%
Over 3.5 Goals
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
42%
No
58%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.