How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is WIT Georgia, at 47.6%. The other outcomes represent 52.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 47.6% · Draw: 24.9% · Away win: 27.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: WIT Georgia 1560; Gonio 1543. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga 3 · Thursday, Oct 8 2026
· 11:00
WIT Georgia
Elo 1560
2
-
0
Gonio
Elo 1543
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
+17
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
WIT Georgia1560
Gonio1543
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0WIT Georgia
0Draws
2Gonio
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
48% conf.
CORRECT
Home
48%
Draw
25%
Away
27%
Both Teams to Score
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
62%
No
38%
Away Clean Sheet
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Home Clean Sheet
71% conf.
WRONG
Yes
29%
No
71%
Double Chance 1X
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
No
30%
Double Chance X2
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
51%
No
49%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
CORRECT
Home
30%
Draw
42%
Away
28%
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
75%
No
25%
HT Over 1.5
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
33%
No
67%
Over 1.5 Goals
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
86%
No
14%
Over 2.5 Goals
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
58%
No
42%
Over 3.5 Goals
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.