How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Kahraba Ismailia, at 42.0%. The other outcomes represent 58.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 33.6% · Draw: 24.4% · Away win: 42%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Tersana 1540; Kahraba Ismailia 1639. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–2. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Second League · Thursday, Oct 8 2026
· 12:30
Tersana
Elo 1540
2
-
2
Kahraba Ismailia
Elo 1639
FT
HT 2-0
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
-98
Elo rating comparison
Tersana1540
Kahraba Ismailia1639
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Tersana
—Draws
—Kahraba Ismailia
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
42% conf.
WRONG
Home
34%
Draw
24%
Away
42%
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
47%
No
53%
Away Clean Sheet
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Home Clean Sheet
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
67%
No
33%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
WRONG
Home
24%
Draw
44%
Away
32%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
HT Over 1.5
71% conf.
WRONG
Yes
29%
No
71%
Over 1.5 Goals
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
67%
No
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
43%
No
57%
Over 3.5 Goals
77% conf.
WRONG
Yes
23%
No
77%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
13%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.