How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Al Ain, at 60.3%. The other outcomes represent 39.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 60.3% · Draw: 19.8% · Away win: 19.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Al Ain 1988; Al-Ittihad Kalba 1585. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–2. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
League Cup · Thursday, Oct 8 2026
· 13:10
Al Ain
Elo 1988
2
-
2
Al-Ittihad Kalba
Elo 1585
FT
HT 1-1
Home Form (5)
4W
1D
0L
Away Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Elo Advantage
+403
H2H (5)
5H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Al Ain1988
Al-Ittihad Kalba1585
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
5Al Ain
0Draws
0Al-Ittihad Kalba
5 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
60% conf.
WRONG
Home
60%
Draw
20%
Away
20%
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
No
47%
Away Clean Sheet
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
15%
No
85%
Home Clean Sheet
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Double Chance 1X
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
No
16%
Double Chance X2
68% conf.
WRONG
Yes
32%
No
68%
Half-Time Result
49% conf.
WRONG
Home
49%
Draw
39%
Away
12%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
WRONG
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
HT Over 1.5
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
49%
No
51%
Over 1.5 Goals
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
No
23%
Over 2.5 Goals
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
58%
No
42%
Over 3.5 Goals
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
47%
No
53%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.