How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Sepahan FC, at 73.0%. The other outcomes represent 27.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 73% · Draw: 18.5% · Away win: 8.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Sepahan FC 1859; Fajr Sepasi 1700. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 6–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Persian Gulf Pro League · Thursday, Oct 8 2026
· 15:15
Sepahan FC
Elo 1859
6
-
1
Fajr Sepasi
Elo 1700
FT
HT 2-1
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
+159
Elo rating comparison
Sepahan FC1859
Fajr Sepasi1700
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Sepahan FC
—Draws
—Fajr Sepasi
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
73% conf.
CORRECT
Home
73%
Draw
18%
Away
8%
Both Teams to Score
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
38%
No
62%
Away Clean Sheet
87% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
13%
No
87%
Home Clean Sheet
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
56%
No
44%
Double Chance 1X
93% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
93%
No
7%
Double Chance X2
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
WRONG
Home
44%
Draw
44%
Away
12%
HT Both Teams Score
86% conf.
WRONG
Yes
14%
No
86%
HT Over 0.5
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
63%
No
37%
HT Over 1.5
71% conf.
WRONG
Yes
29%
No
71%
Over 1.5 Goals
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
66%
No
34%
Over 2.5 Goals
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
42%
No
58%
Over 3.5 Goals
77% conf.
WRONG
Yes
23%
No
77%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.