How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Al-Rayyan SC, at 60.9%. The other outcomes represent 39.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 21.1% · Draw: 17.9% · Away win: 60.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Qatar SC 1574; Al-Rayyan SC 1787. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–3. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Stars League · Friday, Oct 9 2026
· 14:45
Qatar SC
Elo 1574
0
-
3
Al-Rayyan SC
Elo 1787
FT
HT 0-2
Home Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
-214
H2H (4)
0H
4D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Qatar SC1574
Al-Rayyan SC1787
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Qatar SC
4Draws
0Al-Rayyan SC
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
61% conf.
CORRECT
Home
21%
Draw
18%
Away
61%
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
54%
No
46%
Away Clean Sheet
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
40%
No
60%
Home Clean Sheet
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
Double Chance 1X
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance X2
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
74%
No
26%
Half-Time Result
39% conf.
CORRECT
Home
23%
Draw
38%
Away
39%
HT Both Teams Score
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
67% conf.
WRONG
Yes
33%
No
67%
Over 1.5 Goals
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
79%
No
21%
Over 2.5 Goals
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
55%
No
45%
Over 3.5 Goals
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Home Win to Nil
94% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
6%
No
94%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.