How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Al-Duhail SC, at 40.8%. The other outcomes represent 59.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 32.4% · Draw: 26.8% · Away win: 40.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Al Shamal 1670; Al-Duhail SC 1721. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–4. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Stars League · Thursday, Oct 8 2026
· 14:45
Al Shamal
Elo 1670
0
-
4
Al-Duhail SC
Elo 1721
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
4W
1D
0L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
-51
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Al Shamal1670
Al-Duhail SC1721
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Al Shamal
0Draws
2Al-Duhail SC
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
41% conf.
CORRECT
Home
32%
Draw
27%
Away
41%
Both Teams to Score
66% conf.
WRONG
Yes
66%
No
34%
Away Clean Sheet
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
25%
No
75%
Home Clean Sheet
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Half-Time Result
37% conf.
WRONG
Home
28%
Draw
37%
Away
35%
HT Both Teams Score
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
HT Over 0.5
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
HT Over 1.5
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Over 1.5 Goals
87% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
87%
No
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
62%
No
38%
Over 3.5 Goals
69% conf.
WRONG
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.