How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Al Nasr, at 70.1%. The other outcomes represent 29.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 70.1% · Draw: 18.8% · Away win: 11.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Al Nasr 1728; Hatta SC 1554. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 4–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
League Cup · Thursday, Oct 8 2026
· 15:45
Al Nasr
Elo 1728
4
-
1
Hatta SC
Elo 1554
FT
HT 1-1
Home Form (5)
2W
3D
0L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
+174
Elo rating comparison
Al Nasr1728
Hatta SC1554
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Al Nasr
—Draws
—Hatta SC
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
70% conf.
CORRECT
Home
70%
Draw
19%
Away
11%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
48%
No
52%
Away Clean Sheet
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
14%
No
86%
Home Clean Sheet
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
48%
No
52%
Double Chance 1X
93% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
93%
No
7%
Double Chance X2
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Half-Time Result
46% conf.
WRONG
Home
46%
Draw
42%
Away
12%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
WRONG
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
71%
No
29%
HT Over 1.5
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Over 1.5 Goals
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
No
23%
Over 2.5 Goals
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
57%
No
43%
Over 3.5 Goals
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
36%
No
64%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.