KuPS vs AC Oulu

Veikkausliiga · Thursday, 08 Oct 2026 · 16:00

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Statistical match analysis

In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is KuPS, at 63.9%. The other outcomes represent 36.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.

Home win: 63.9% · Draw: 21.5% · Away win: 14.7%.

Elo strength available for this analysis: KuPS 2027; AC Oulu 1894. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.

90-minute result: 0–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.

Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.

Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.

Veikkausliiga · Thursday, Oct 8 2026 · 16:00
KuPS
Elo 2027
0 - 1
AC Oulu
Elo 1894
FT HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
3W 1D 1L
Away Form (5)
3W 1D 1L
Elo Advantage
+133
H2H (6)
2H 0D 4A

Elo rating comparison

KuPS2027
AC Oulu1894

A measure of relative team strength before the match.

Head-to-head history

2KuPS
0Draws
4AC Oulu

6 historical meetings in the model

Predictions

14 markets
Match Result
64% conf. WRONG
Home
64%
Draw
21%
Away
15%
Both Teams to Score
53% conf. WRONG
Yes
53%
No
47%
Away Clean Sheet
86% conf. WRONG
Yes
14%
No
86%
Home Clean Sheet
64% conf. CORRECT
Yes
36%
No
64%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf. WRONG
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
62% conf. WRONG
Yes
38%
No
62%
Half-Time Result
44% conf. WRONG
Home
44%
Draw
41%
Away
15%
HT Both Teams Score
83% conf. CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf. CORRECT
Yes
73%
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
61% conf. CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Over 1.5 Goals
74% conf. WRONG
Yes
74%
No
26%
Over 2.5 Goals
60% conf. WRONG
Yes
60%
No
40%
Over 3.5 Goals
60% conf. CORRECT
Yes
40%
No
60%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf. CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%

How to read these predictions

Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.

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Recent results

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Verified performance

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Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?

Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.

Are predictions guaranteed?

No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.

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