How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Azam, at 59.7%. The other outcomes represent 40.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 20.5% · Draw: 19.8% · Away win: 59.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Coastal Union 1554; Azam 1816. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–2. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Ligi kuu Bara · Friday, Oct 9 2026
· 18:00
Coastal Union
Elo 1554
0
-
2
Azam
Elo 1816
FT
Home Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Away Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Elo Advantage
-262
H2H (5)
0H
0D
5A
Elo rating comparison
Coastal Union1554
Azam1816
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Coastal Union
0Draws
5Azam
5 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
60% conf.
CORRECT
Home
20%
Draw
20%
Away
60%
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
43%
No
57%
Away Clean Sheet
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
45%
No
55%
Home Clean Sheet
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
15%
No
85%
Double Chance 1X
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance X2
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
No
22%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
Home
19%
Draw
41%
Away
40%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
70% conf.
Yes
70%
No
30%
HT Over 1.5
65% conf.
Yes
35%
No
65%
Over 1.5 Goals
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
No
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
52%
No
48%
Over 3.5 Goals
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.