How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Yangpyeong, at 41.6%. The other outcomes represent 58.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 41.6% · Draw: 25.6% · Away win: 32.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Yangpyeong 1438; Ulsan Citizen 1463. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
K3 League · Friday, Oct 9 2026
· 05:00
Yangpyeong
Elo 1438
2
-
1
Ulsan Citizen
Elo 1463
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
0W
2D
3L
Away Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Elo Advantage
-25
H2H (2)
0H
2D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Yangpyeong1438
Ulsan Citizen1463
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Yangpyeong
2Draws
0Ulsan Citizen
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
42% conf.
CORRECT
Home
42%
Draw
26%
Away
33%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
48%
No
52%
Away Clean Sheet
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
29%
No
71%
Home Clean Sheet
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
29%
No
71%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
60%
No
40%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
WRONG
Home
30%
Draw
42%
Away
28%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
68%
No
32%
HT Over 1.5
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
33%
No
67%
Over 1.5 Goals
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
76%
No
24%
Over 2.5 Goals
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
46%
No
54%
Over 3.5 Goals
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.