How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Persipura Jayapura, at 69.3%. The other outcomes represent 30.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 69.3% · Draw: 20.2% · Away win: 10.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Persipura Jayapura 1654; Cilegon United 1323. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga 2 · Friday, Oct 9 2026
· 08:30
Persipura Jayapura
Elo 1654
vs
Cilegon United
Elo 1323
Home Form (5)
5W
0D
0L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
+331
Elo rating comparison
Persipura Jayapura1654
Cilegon United1323
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Persipura Jayapura
—Draws
—Cilegon United
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
69% conf.
Home
69%
Draw
20%
Away
10%
Both Teams to Score
63% conf.
Yes
37%
No
63%
Away Clean Sheet
88% conf.
Yes
12%
No
88%
Home Clean Sheet
52% conf.
Yes
52%
No
48%
Double Chance 1X
93% conf.
Yes
93%
No
7%
Double Chance X2
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Half-Time Result
52% conf.
Home
52%
Draw
37%
Away
11%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
71% conf.
Yes
71%
No
29%
HT Over 1.5
62% conf.
Yes
38%
No
62%
Over 1.5 Goals
78% conf.
Yes
78%
No
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Over 3.5 Goals
66% conf.
Yes
34%
No
66%
Home Win to Nil
50% conf.
Yes
50%
No
50%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.