How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Fortis, at 61.4%. The other outcomes represent 38.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 20.2% · Draw: 18.4% · Away win: 61.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Brothers Union 1452; Fortis 1685. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Premier League · Friday, Oct 9 2026
· 08:45
Brothers Union
Elo 1452
vs
Fortis
Elo 1685
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Elo Advantage
-233
H2H (4)
0H
0D
4A
Elo rating comparison
Brothers Union1452
Fortis1685
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Brothers Union
0Draws
4Fortis
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
61% conf.
Home
20%
Draw
18%
Away
61%
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
Yes
54%
No
46%
Away Clean Sheet
62% conf.
Yes
38%
No
62%
Home Clean Sheet
86% conf.
Yes
14%
No
86%
Double Chance 1X
56% conf.
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance X2
77% conf.
Yes
77%
No
23%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
Home
21%
Draw
39%
Away
40%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
71% conf.
Yes
71%
No
29%
HT Over 1.5
66% conf.
Yes
34%
No
66%
Over 1.5 Goals
69% conf.
Yes
69%
No
31%
Over 2.5 Goals
52% conf.
Yes
52%
No
48%
Over 3.5 Goals
72% conf.
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Win to Nil
97% conf.
Yes
3%
No
97%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.