How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Rahmatgonj MFS, at 55.6%. The other outcomes represent 44.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 55.6% · Draw: 22% · Away win: 22.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Rahmatgonj MFS 1550; PWD Sports Club 1472. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Premier League · Friday, Oct 9 2026
· 08:45
Rahmatgonj MFS
Elo 1550
vs
PWD Sports Club
Elo 1472
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
+78
H2H (5)
3H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Rahmatgonj MFS1550
PWD Sports Club1472
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
3Rahmatgonj MFS
0Draws
2PWD Sports Club
5 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
56% conf.
Home
56%
Draw
22%
Away
22%
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Away Clean Sheet
82% conf.
Yes
18%
No
82%
Home Clean Sheet
63% conf.
Yes
37%
No
63%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
53% conf.
Yes
47%
No
53%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
Home
42%
Draw
37%
Away
20%
HT Both Teams Score
84% conf.
Yes
16%
No
84%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
68% conf.
Yes
32%
No
68%
Over 1.5 Goals
73% conf.
Yes
73%
No
27%
Over 2.5 Goals
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Over 3.5 Goals
72% conf.
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.