How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Dagon, at 63.5%. The other outcomes represent 36.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 20% · Draw: 16.5% · Away win: 63.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: I.S.P.E 1505; Dagon 1687. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
National League · Friday, Oct 9 2026
· 09:00
I.S.P.E
Elo 1505
vs
Dagon
Elo 1687
Home Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
-182
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
I.S.P.E1505
Dagon1687
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0I.S.P.E
0Draws
2Dagon
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
64% conf.
Home
20%
Draw
16%
Away
64%
Both Teams to Score
58% conf.
Yes
58%
No
42%
Away Clean Sheet
70% conf.
Yes
30%
No
70%
Home Clean Sheet
89% conf.
Yes
11%
No
89%
Double Chance 1X
56% conf.
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance X2
78% conf.
Yes
78%
No
22%
Half-Time Result
47% conf.
Home
21%
Draw
31%
Away
47%
HT Both Teams Score
75% conf.
Yes
25%
No
75%
HT Over 0.5
79% conf.
Yes
79%
No
21%
HT Over 1.5
52% conf.
Yes
52%
No
48%
Over 1.5 Goals
85% conf.
Yes
85%
No
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
67% conf.
Yes
67%
No
33%
Over 3.5 Goals
51% conf.
Yes
49%
No
51%
Home Win to Nil
92% conf.
Yes
8%
No
92%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.