How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Sagamihara, at 51.9%. The other outcomes represent 48.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 51.9% · Draw: 24% · Away win: 24.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Sagamihara 1513; Kamatamare Sanuki 1312. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
J3 League · Friday, Oct 9 2026
· 09:30
Sagamihara
Elo 1513
vs
Kamatamare Sanuki
Elo 1312
Home Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Elo Advantage
+200
Elo rating comparison
Sagamihara1513
Kamatamare Sanuki1312
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Sagamihara
—Draws
—Kamatamare Sanuki
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
52% conf.
Home
52%
Draw
24%
Away
24%
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
Yes
47%
No
53%
Away Clean Sheet
84% conf.
Yes
16%
No
84%
Home Clean Sheet
61% conf.
Yes
39%
No
61%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
57% conf.
Yes
43%
No
57%
Half-Time Result
39% conf.
Home
39%
Draw
37%
Away
24%
HT Both Teams Score
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
HT Over 0.5
69% conf.
Yes
69%
No
31%
HT Over 1.5
68% conf.
Yes
32%
No
68%
Over 1.5 Goals
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
51% conf.
Yes
49%
No
51%
Over 3.5 Goals
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.