How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Estoril U23, at 38.0%. The other outcomes represent 62.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 38% · Draw: 28% · Away win: 34%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Estoril U23 1536; Sporting CP U23 1581. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga Revelação U23 · Friday, Oct 9 2026
· 10:00
Estoril U23
Elo 1536
vs
Sporting CP U23
Elo 1581
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
4W
1D
0L
Elo Advantage
-45
Elo rating comparison
Estoril U231536
Sporting CP U231581
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Estoril U23
—Draws
—Sporting CP U23
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
38% conf.
Home
38%
Draw
28%
Away
34%
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
Yes
57%
No
43%
Away Clean Sheet
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Home Clean Sheet
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Double Chance 1X
59% conf.
Yes
59%
No
41%
Double Chance X2
63% conf.
Yes
63%
No
37%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
Home
29%
Draw
40%
Away
31%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
71% conf.
Yes
71%
No
29%
HT Over 1.5
64% conf.
Yes
36%
No
64%
Over 1.5 Goals
67% conf.
Yes
67%
No
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
53% conf.
Yes
47%
No
53%
Over 3.5 Goals
77% conf.
Yes
23%
No
77%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.