How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Gardabani, at 39.8%. The other outcomes represent 60.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 39.8% · Draw: 21.8% · Away win: 38.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Gardabani 1236; Kolkheti Khobi 1326. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga 3 · Friday, Oct 9 2026
· 11:00
Gardabani
Elo 1236
vs
Kolkheti Khobi
Elo 1326
Home Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
-90
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Gardabani1236
Kolkheti Khobi1326
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Gardabani
0Draws
2Kolkheti Khobi
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
40% conf.
Home
40%
Draw
22%
Away
38%
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
Yes
57%
No
43%
Away Clean Sheet
78% conf.
Yes
22%
No
78%
Home Clean Sheet
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Double Chance 1X
60% conf.
Yes
60%
No
40%
Double Chance X2
61% conf.
Yes
61%
No
39%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
Home
28%
Draw
41%
Away
31%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
Yes
77%
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
55% conf.
Yes
45%
No
55%
Over 1.5 Goals
82% conf.
Yes
82%
No
18%
Over 2.5 Goals
62% conf.
Yes
62%
No
38%
Over 3.5 Goals
62% conf.
Yes
38%
No
62%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.