How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Guria, at 55.5%. The other outcomes represent 44.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 25.2% · Draw: 19.3% · Away win: 55.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Margveti 2006 1439; Guria 1596. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga 3 · Friday, Oct 9 2026
· 11:00
Margveti 2006
Elo 1439
vs
Guria
Elo 1596
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Elo Advantage
-157
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Margveti 20061439
Guria1596
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Margveti 2006
0Draws
2Guria
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
56% conf.
Home
25%
Draw
19%
Away
56%
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
Yes
51%
No
49%
Away Clean Sheet
58% conf.
Yes
42%
No
58%
Home Clean Sheet
86% conf.
Yes
14%
No
86%
Double Chance 1X
56% conf.
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance X2
78% conf.
Yes
78%
No
22%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
Home
20%
Draw
42%
Away
39%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
58% conf.
Yes
42%
No
58%
Over 1.5 Goals
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
55% conf.
Yes
55%
No
45%
Over 3.5 Goals
71% conf.
Yes
29%
No
71%
Home Win to Nil
97% conf.
Yes
3%
No
97%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
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No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.