How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Merani Tbilisi, at 57.7%. The other outcomes represent 42.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 57.7% · Draw: 26.1% · Away win: 16.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Merani Tbilisi 1462; Iveria Khashuri 1364. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga 3 · Friday, Oct 9 2026
· 11:00
Merani Tbilisi
Elo 1462
vs
Iveria Khashuri
Elo 1364
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
0W
3D
2L
Elo Advantage
+98
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Merani Tbilisi1462
Iveria Khashuri1364
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Merani Tbilisi
0Draws
0Iveria Khashuri
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
58% conf.
Home
58%
Draw
26%
Away
16%
Both Teams to Score
62% conf.
Yes
62%
No
38%
Away Clean Sheet
86% conf.
Yes
14%
No
86%
Home Clean Sheet
70% conf.
Yes
30%
No
70%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
58% conf.
Yes
42%
No
58%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
Home
41%
Draw
42%
Away
17%
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf.
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
Yes
77%
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
56% conf.
Yes
44%
No
56%
Over 1.5 Goals
84% conf.
Yes
84%
No
16%
Over 2.5 Goals
58% conf.
Yes
58%
No
42%
Over 3.5 Goals
62% conf.
Yes
38%
No
62%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.